Polar Vortex Forecast February 2024 Election

Polar Vortex Forecast February 2024 Election. For the gefsv12 forecast issued on february 12, ~90% of the individual model runs predict a reversal of the vortex winds (top, thin magenta lines), accompanied by a sharp increase in stratospheric temperature (thick. According to noaa’s new polar vortex blog, after a brief respite, the stratospheric polar vortex is expected to weaken again with potentially another major sudden stratospheric warming forecast to occur in the next week.

And while the first two weeks of february are likely to be milder than average in the northeast, uncertainty increases during the second half of the month, possibly linked to a. Following a polar vortex disruption in early march, winds at 60 degrees north (outlined in magenta) on march 16, 2024, were mostly from the east—a reversal of the normal.